Predictive modeling of cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Predictive Modeling of Cholera Outbreaks in Bangladesh.
Despite seasonal cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh, little is known about the relationship between environmental conditions and cholera cases. We seek to develop a predictive model for cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh based on environmental predictors. To do this, we estimate the contribution of environmental variables, such as water depth and water temperature, to cholera outbreaks in the context...
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BACKGROUND In 2011, a multidisciplinary team investigated two diarrhoea outbreaks affecting urban Bangladeshi communities from the districts of Bogra and Kishorganj to identify etiology, pathways of transmission, and factors contributing to these outbreaks. METHODS We defined case-patients with severe diarrhoea as residents from affected communities admitted with ≥3 loose stools per day. We l...
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Mathematical modeling can be a valuable tool for studying infectious disease outbreak dynamics and simulating the effects of possible interventions. Here, we describe approaches to modeling cholera outbreaks and how models have been applied to explore intervention strategies, particularly in Haiti. Mathematical models can play an important role in formulating and evaluating complex cholera outb...
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Clinical and environmental Vibrio cholerae organisms collected from February 2004 through April 2005 were systematically isolated from 2 rural Bangladeshi locales. Their genetic relatedness was evaluated at 5 loci that contained a variable number of tandem repeats (VNTR). The observed minimal overlap in VNTR patterns between the 2 communities was consistent with sequential, small outbreaks from...
متن کاملcholera outbreaks evaluation in sistan and baluchestan province of iran
background several hundred thousand people are infected with vibrio cholera every year worldwide, with a case fatality rate over 2%. periodic cholera outbreaks are of important health issues in iran, especially in sistan and baluchistan province. objectives in this study, we evaluated cholera out breaks and related factors, during 2010-2013, to improve controlling the disease in this province. ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Annals of Applied Statistics
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1932-6157
DOI: 10.1214/16-aoas908